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Santa Clara vs GIL Vicente — Prediction

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Most likely score (model)
Sun, 08 Nov 2026 · Primeira Liga
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Score · Lineups · Live stats

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
8 Nov 2026, 15:30 UTC
Competition
Primeira Liga
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Santa Clara
  • Marítimo 0–2 Santa Clara
  • Santa Clara 1–2 Benfica
  • Santa Clara 0–0 SC Braga
  • Arouca 0–2 Santa Clara
  • Santa Clara 4–0 Rio Ave FC
GIL Vicente
  • GIL Vicente 0–0 Guimaraes
  • GIL Vicente 0–1 FC Porto
  • GIL Vicente 1–1 Marítimo
  • Benfica 1–1 GIL Vicente
  • GIL Vicente 0–1 Académico Viseu
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Santa Clara 34 · GIL Vicente 34. Data saved: 2026-11-06 03:40 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: GIL Vicente 41% · 2026-11-07 00:50 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 0.85
Model goal expectation · 2 1.15
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
BTTS 39%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Santa Clara 0.85 · GIL Vicente 1.15.
1 27% · X 30% · 2 43%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:1 15.6%
0:0 13.6%
1:1 13.2%
1:0 11.5%
0:2 9%
1:2 7.6%
2:1 5.6%
2:0 4.9%
0:3 3.4%
2:2 3.2%
1:3 2.9%
3:1 1.6%

About this assessment

Model outcome GIL Vicente Win
Probability 43%
Predicted Odds 2.33

Team Comparison

Santa Clara GIL Vicente
13 League Position 6
36 Points 50
26% Win % 38%
0.94 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
1.21 Avg Goals Conceded 1.12

Venue Form

Santa Clara at Home
W1 D1 L1 (3 games)
33% win rate
GIL Vicente Away
W0 D1 L0 (1 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Santa Clara
W L D W W
GIL Vicente
D L D D L

Read the forecast alongside the match

A practical guide to the information shown here.

01

Read the selected market

A match-winner selection and a goal total answer different questions. Read the outcome before comparing percentages.

02

Check the recording time

A saved estimate belongs to its recording time. Check kickoff and the available match context separately.

03

Inspect comparable outcomes

Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

Inspect the prediction record →

Continue the match analysis

Useful next steps within VARiM.

Questions about this context

Answers to help interpret the available information.

Are these probabilities a guarantee?

No. A probability describes a model estimate for a particular selection and recording time; the actual match can finish differently.

Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

Only relevant fixtures with a verified saved record are shown. The match and prediction catalogues may contain other available information.