1
23%
Home Win
4.42
X
33%
Draw
2.99
2
44%
Away Win
2.28
xG Home
0.65
xG Away
1.03
Over 2.5 Goals
24%
BTTS
31%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Santa Clara an expected 0.6 goals and Famalicao an expected 1.0 goals. Santa Clara have a 23% win probability, draw stands at 33%, and Famalicao at 44%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 76%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
19.3%
0:0
18.7%
1:1
12.5%
1:0
12.1%
0:2
9.9%
1:2
6.4%
2:1
4%
2:0
3.9%
0:3
3.4%
1:3
2.2%
2:2
2.1%
0:4
0.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Famalicao Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 44% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.27 |
| Market Odds | 2.42 |
Team Comparison
| Santa Clara | Famalicao | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 5 |
| 36 | Points | 56 |
| 26% | Win % | 44% |
| 0.94 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.24 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.85 |
Venue Form
Santa Clara at Home
W3
D0
L0
(3 games)
Famalicao Away
W1
D2
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Santa Clara
W
W
W
Famalicao
D
W
D
