1
60%
Home Win
1.66
X
25%
Draw
4.06
2
15%
Away Win
6.64
xG Home
1.61
xG Away
0.66
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
BTTS
39%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Sanfrecce Hiroshima an expected 1.6 goals and Nagoya Grampus an expected 0.7 goals. Sanfrecce Hiroshima have a 60% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Nagoya Grampus at 15%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 61%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
16.7%
2:0
13.4%
1:1
11%
0:0
10.4%
2:1
8.8%
3:0
7.2%
0:1
6.8%
3:1
4.7%
1:2
3.6%
2:2
2.9%
4:0
2.9%
0:2
2.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 60% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.67 |
| Market Odds | 1.77 |
Team Comparison
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 16 |
| 68 | Points | 43 |
| 53% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.16 |
| 0.74 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.47 |
Venue Form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima at Home
W3
D1
L0
(4 games)
Nagoya Grampus Away
W2
D0
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
D
W
W
Nagoya Grampus
L
W
W
L
