1
6%
Home Win
17.33
X
15%
Draw
6.49
2
79%
Away Win
1.27
xG Home
0.44
xG Away
2.25
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
BTTS
32%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Rio Ave FC an expected 0.4 goals and FC Porto an expected 2.2 goals. Rio Ave FC have a 6% win probability, draw stands at 15%, and FC Porto at 79%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 50%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:2
17.2%
0:1
15.3%
0:3
12.9%
1:2
7.6%
0:4
7.2%
0:0
6.8%
1:1
6.7%
1:3
5.7%
1:4
3.2%
1:0
3%
2:2
1.7%
2:1
1.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC Porto Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 79% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.27 |
| Market Odds | 1.35 |
Team Comparison
| Rio Ave FC | FC Porto | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | League Position | 1 |
| 36 | Points | 88 |
| 24% | Win % | 82% |
| 1.03 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.94 |
| 1.68 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.53 |
Venue Form
Rio Ave FC at Home
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
FC Porto Away
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Rio Ave FC
L
D
L
FC Porto
L
W
L
