1
39%
Home Win
2.59
X
26%
Draw
3.84
2
35%
Away Win
2.83
xG Home
1.36
xG Away
1.29
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
BTTS
54%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Rio Ave FC an expected 1.4 goals and Estrela da Amadora an expected 1.3 goals. Rio Ave FC have a 39% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Estrela da Amadora at 35%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 50%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.4%
1:0
9.6%
0:1
9.1%
2:1
8.4%
1:2
8%
0:0
7%
2:0
6.5%
0:2
5.9%
2:2
5.5%
3:1
3.8%
1:3
3.4%
3:0
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Rio Ave FC Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 39% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.56 |
| Market Odds | 2.73 |
Team Comparison
| Rio Ave FC | Estrela da Amadora | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | League Position | 15 |
| 36 | Points | 30 |
| 24% | Win % | 18% |
| 1.03 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.12 |
| 1.68 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.65 |
Venue Form
Rio Ave FC at Home
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
Estrela da Amadora Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
Rio Ave FC
L
D
L
Estrela da Amadora
L
L
