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FC Porto vs Estoril — Prediction

FC Porto FC Porto
2 – 0
Most likely score (model)
Sat, 31 Oct 2026 · Primeira Liga
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Estoril Estoril

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
31 Oct 2026, 20:30 UTC
Competition
Primeira Liga
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

FC Porto
  • GIL Vicente 0–1 FC Porto
  • FC Porto 3–1 Benfica
  • Casa Pia AC 1–4 FC Porto
  • FC Porto 0–2 Manchester City
  • FC Porto 1–0 Santa Clara
Estoril
  • Estoril 0–3 Moreirense
  • Estoril 0–0 Casa Pia AC
  • SC Braga 1–0 Estoril
  • Estoril 0–0 Arouca
  • Estoril 1–3 Benfica
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: FC Porto 34 · Estoril 34. Data saved: 2026-10-31 00:10 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: FC Porto 54% · 2026-10-31 01:01 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

1 81%
Home Win 1.24
X 13%
Draw 7.66
2 6%
Away Win 16.64
Model goal expectation · 1 2.62
Model goal expectation · 2 0.58
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
BTTS 41%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: FC Porto 2.62 · Estoril 0.58.
1 81% · X 13% · 2 6%.

Correct Score Predictions

2:0 14%
3:0 12.2%
1:0 10.7%
2:1 8.1%
4:0 8%
3:1 7.1%
1:1 6.2%
4:1 4.6%
0:0 4.1%
0:1 2.4%
2:2 2.4%
3:2 2.1%

About this assessment

Model outcome FC Porto Win
Probability 81%
Predicted Odds 1.23

Team Comparison

FC Porto Estoril
1 League Position 10
88 Points 39
82% Win % 29%
1.94 Avg Goals Scored 1.59
0.53 Avg Goals Conceded 1.68

Venue Form

FC Porto at Home
W2 D0 L1 (3 games)
67% win rate
Estoril Away
W0 D0 L1 (1 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

FC Porto
W W W L W
Estoril
L D L D L

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