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Moreirense vs Estrela da Amadora — Prediction

Moreirense Moreirense
1 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Sat, 31 Oct 2026 · Primeira Liga
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Estrela da Amadora Estrela da Amadora

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
31 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC
Competition
Primeira Liga
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Moreirense
  • Estoril 0–3 Moreirense
  • Guimaraes 1–1 Moreirense
  • Moreirense 3–1 Marítimo
  • Moreirense 0–4 Benfica
  • Moreirense 0–0 AVS
Estrela da Amadora
  • Estrela da Amadora 0–2 Casa Pia AC
  • Estrela da Amadora 0–2 Académico Viseu
  • Rio Ave FC 3–3 Estrela da Amadora
  • Estrela da Amadora 2–1 SC Braga
  • Estrela da Amadora 2–2 Famalicao
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Moreirense 34 · Estrela da Amadora 34. Data saved: 2026-10-31 00:10 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Moreirense 40% · 2026-10-31 01:01 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

1 45%
Home Win 2.24
X 26%
Draw 3.81
2 29%
Away Win 3.44
Model goal expectation · 1 1.44
Model goal expectation · 2 1.11
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
BTTS 51%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Moreirense 1.44 · Estrela da Amadora 1.11.
1 45% · X 26% · 2 29%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.5%
1:0 11.2%
2:1 9%
0:1 8.6%
2:0 8.1%
0:0 7.8%
1:2 6.9%
2:2 5%
0:2 4.8%
3:1 4.3%
3:0 3.9%
1:3 2.6%

About this assessment

Model outcome Moreirense Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22

Team Comparison

Moreirense Estrela da Amadora
7 League Position 15
43 Points 30
35% Win % 18%
1.09 Avg Goals Scored 1.12
1.44 Avg Goals Conceded 1.65

Venue Form

Moreirense at Home
W1 D1 L1 (3 games)
33% win rate
Estrela da Amadora Away
W0 D1 L0 (1 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Moreirense
W D W L D
Estrela da Amadora
L L D W D

Head to Head

02 May 2026 primeirliga
Moreirense 3 : 2 Estrela da Amadora
W

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