1
38%
Home Win
2.61
X
22%
Draw
4.52
2
40%
Away Win
2.53
xG Home
1.76
xG Away
1.79
Over 2.5 Goals
69%
BTTS
69%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Rennes FC an expected 1.8 goals and Marseille an expected 1.8 goals. Rennes FC have a 38% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Marseille at 40%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 69%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
9.1%
1:2
8.1%
2:1
8%
2:2
7.1%
0:1
5.1%
1:0
5.1%
1:3
4.8%
3:1
4.7%
0:2
4.6%
2:0
4.5%
2:3
4.2%
3:2
4.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Marseille Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 40% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.5 |
| Market Odds | 2.66 |
Team Comparison
| Rennes FC | Marseille | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 5 |
| 59 | Points | 59 |
| 50% | Win % | 53% |
| 1.74 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.85 |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
Venue Form
Rennes FC at Home
W3
D0
L0
(3 games)
Marseille Away
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Rennes FC
W
W
W
Marseille
W
L
L