Rennes FC vs Auxerre Prediction

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1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Sun, 11 Oct 2026 · Ligue 1
1 55%
Home Win 1.82
X 24%
Draw 4.19
2 21%
Away Win 4.74
xG Home 1.71
xG Away 0.96
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
BTTS 51%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Rennes FC an expected 1.7 goals and Auxerre an expected 1.0 goals. Rennes FC have a 55% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Auxerre at 21%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 50%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 11.8%
1:1 11.3%
2:0 10.1%
2:1 9.7%
0:0 6.9%
0:1 6.6%
3:0 5.8%
3:1 5.6%
1:2 5.5%
2:2 4.7%
0:2 3.2%
3:2 2.7%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Rennes FC Win
Probability 55%
Predicted Odds 1.82
Market Odds 1.93

Team Comparison

Rennes FC Auxerre
6 League Position 15
59 Points 34
50% Win % 24%
1.74 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.47 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29

Venue Form

Rennes FC at Home
W3 D0 L0 (3 games)
100% win rate
Auxerre Away
W0 D1 L2 (3 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Rennes FC
W W W
Auxerre
L D L