1
47%
Home Win
2.12
X
22%
Draw
4.47
2
31%
Away Win
3.27
xG Home
1.88
xG Away
1.48
Over 2.5 Goals
65%
BTTS
65%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Monaco an expected 1.9 goals and Toulouse an expected 1.5 goals. Monaco have a 47% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Toulouse at 31%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 65%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
9.7%
2:1
9.1%
1:2
7.2%
2:2
6.7%
1:0
6.5%
2:0
6.1%
3:1
5.7%
0:1
5.2%
3:2
4.2%
3:0
3.8%
0:2
3.8%
1:3
3.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Monaco Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 47% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.13 |
| Market Odds | 2.26 |
Team Comparison
| Monaco | Toulouse | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 10 |
| 54 | Points | 44 |
| 47% | Win % | 36% |
| 1.76 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.42 |
| 1.59 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.39 |
Venue Form
Monaco at Home
W1
D2
L1
(4 games)
Toulouse Away
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Monaco
W
L
D
D
Toulouse
W
