1
54%
Home Win
1.86
X
24%
Draw
4.24
2
23%
Away Win
4.39
xG Home
1.75
xG Away
1.05
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
BTTS
54%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Lens an expected 1.7 goals and Lyon an expected 1.1 goals. Lens have a 54% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Lyon at 23%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.2%
1:0
10.6%
2:1
9.8%
2:0
9.3%
0:1
6.4%
0:0
6.1%
1:2
5.9%
3:1
5.7%
3:0
5.4%
2:2
5.1%
0:2
3.4%
3:2
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Lens Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 54% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.85 |
| Market Odds | 1.97 |
Team Comparison
| Lens | Lyon | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 4 |
| 70 | Points | 60 |
| 65% | Win % | 53% |
| 1.94 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.56 |
| 1.03 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.18 |
Venue Form
Lens at Home
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Lyon Away
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Lens
L
L
W
Lyon
L
W
L