Lille vs LE Havre AC Prediction

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1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Sat, 10 Oct 2026 · Ligue 1
1 58%
Home Win 1.74
X 26%
Draw 3.85
2 16%
Away Win 6.07
xG Home 1.51
xG Away 0.67
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
BTTS 38%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Lille an expected 1.5 goals and LE Havre AC an expected 0.7 goals. Lille have a 58% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and LE Havre AC at 16%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 63%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 17.1%
2:0 12.9%
1:1 11.4%
0:0 11.3%
2:1 8.6%
0:1 7.6%
3:0 6.5%
3:1 4.4%
1:2 3.8%
2:2 2.9%
0:2 2.5%
4:0 2.5%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Lille Win
Probability 58%
Predicted Odds 1.72
Market Odds 1.83

Team Comparison

Lille LE Havre AC
3 League Position 14
61 Points 35
53% Win % 21%
1.53 Avg Goals Scored 0.94
1.09 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29

Venue Form

Lille at Home
W1 D2 L0 (3 games)
33% win rate
LE Havre AC Away
W0 D2 L0 (2 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Lille
W D D
LE Havre AC
D D

Head to Head

03 May 2026 Ligue 1
Lille 1 : 1 LE Havre AC
D
30 Nov 2025 Ligue 1
LE Havre AC 0 : 1 Lille
W
08 Feb 2025 Ligue 1
Lille 1 : 2 LE Havre AC
L