1
43%
Home Win
2.33
X
24%
Draw
4.1
2
33%
Away Win
3.05
xG Home
1.58
xG Away
1.36
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
BTTS
59%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Lorient an expected 1.6 goals and Paris FC an expected 1.4 goals. Lorient have a 43% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Paris FC at 33%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.3%
2:1
9%
1:0
8.4%
1:2
7.7%
0:1
7.2%
2:0
6.6%
2:2
6.1%
0:0
5.3%
0:2
4.9%
3:1
4.8%
3:0
3.5%
1:3
3.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Lorient Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 43% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.33 |
| Market Odds | 2.47 |
Team Comparison
| Lorient | Paris FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 11 |
| 45 | Points | 44 |
| 32% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.41 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.38 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.47 |
Venue Form
Lorient at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Paris FC Away
W2
D0
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Lorient
L
W
Paris FC
W
L
W
