1
31%
Home Win
3.23
X
23%
Draw
4.37
2
46%
Away Win
2.17
xG Home
1.44
xG Away
1.80
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
BTTS
64%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Real Sociedad an expected 1.4 goals and Atlético Madrid an expected 1.8 goals. Real Sociedad have a 31% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Atlético Madrid at 46%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 63%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.1%
1:2
9.1%
2:1
7.3%
0:1
7%
2:2
6.6%
0:2
6.3%
1:0
5.6%
1:3
5.5%
2:0
4.1%
2:3
3.9%
0:0
3.9%
0:3
3.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Atlético Madrid Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 46% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.17 |
| Market Odds | 2.31 |
Team Comparison
| Real Sociedad | Atlético Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 4 |
| 46 | Points | 69 |
| 29% | Win % | 55% |
| 1.55 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.63 |
| 1.61 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.16 |
Venue Form
Real Sociedad at Home
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Atlético Madrid Away
W2
D0
L3
(5 games)
Recent Form
Real Sociedad
D
L
Atlético Madrid
L
W
W
L
L
