1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
2.56
xG Away
0.77
Over 2.5 Goals
65%
BTTS
49%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Real Madrid an expected 2.6 goals and Sevilla FC an expected 0.8 goals. Real Madrid have a 76% win probability, draw stands at 15%, and Sevilla FC at 9%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 65%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
11.8%
3:0
10.1%
1:0
9.2%
2:1
9%
3:1
7.7%
1:1
7%
4:0
6.4%
4:1
4.9%
0:0
3.6%
2:2
3.5%
3:2
3%
0:1
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Real Madrid Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 76% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.32 |
| Market Odds | 1.4 |
Team Comparison
| Real Madrid | Sevilla FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 13 |
| 86 | Points | 43 |
| 71% | Win % | 32% |
| 2.03 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.21 |
| 0.92 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.58 |
Venue Form
Real Madrid at Home
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
Sevilla FC Away
W3
D1
L2
(6 games)
Recent Form
Real Madrid
W
W
Sevilla FC
W
D
W
L
L
