1
62%
Home Win
1.63
X
21%
Draw
4.78
2
18%
Away Win
5.7
xG Home
2.02
xG Away
0.98
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
BTTS
54%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives RB Leipzig an expected 2.0 goals and Borussia Mönchengladbach an expected 1.0 goals. RB Leipzig have a 62% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and Borussia Mönchengladbach at 18%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
10.2%
1:0
10.1%
2:1
10%
1:1
9.9%
3:0
6.9%
3:1
6.7%
0:0
5%
0:1
4.9%
2:2
4.9%
1:2
4.8%
4:0
3.5%
4:1
3.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | RB Leipzig Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 62% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.61 |
| Market Odds | 1.72 |
Team Comparison
| RB Leipzig | Borussia Mönchengladbach | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 12 |
| 65 | Points | 38 |
| 59% | Win % | 26% |
| 1.94 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.24 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.56 |
Venue Form
RB Leipzig at Home
W3
D0
L0
(3 games)
Borussia Mönchengladbach Away
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
RB Leipzig
W
W
W
Borussia Mönchengladbach
L
D
L
