1
19%
Home Win
5.15
X
25%
Draw
3.99
2
56%
Away Win
1.8
xG Home
0.83
xG Away
1.59
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
BTTS
45%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives RB Bragantino an expected 0.8 goals and Cruzeiro an expected 1.6 goals. RB Bragantino have a 19% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Cruzeiro at 56%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
14.2%
1:1
11.7%
0:2
11.3%
1:2
9.3%
0:0
8.9%
1:0
7.4%
0:3
6%
1:3
5%
2:1
4.8%
2:2
3.9%
2:0
3%
0:4
2.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Cruzeiro Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 56% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.79 |
| Market Odds | 1.9 |
Team Comparison
| RB Bragantino | Cruzeiro | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 3 |
| 48 | Points | 70 |
| 37% | Win % | 50% |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.45 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.82 |
Venue Form
RB Bragantino at Home
W2
D0
L1
(3 games)
Cruzeiro Away
W5
D0
L0
(5 games)
Recent Form
RB Bragantino
W
L
W
Cruzeiro
W
W
W
W
W