1
64%
Home Win
1.56
X
22%
Draw
4.5
2
14%
Away Win
7.34
xG Home
1.80
xG Away
0.69
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
BTTS
41%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Flamengo an expected 1.8 goals and Fluminense an expected 0.7 goals. Flamengo have a 64% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Fluminense at 14%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
15%
2:0
13.5%
1:1
10.3%
2:1
9.3%
0:0
8.3%
3:0
8.1%
0:1
5.7%
3:1
5.6%
4:0
3.7%
1:2
3.5%
2:2
3.2%
4:1
2.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Flamengo Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 64% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.56 |
| Market Odds | 1.66 |
Team Comparison
| Flamengo | Fluminense | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 5 |
| 79 | Points | 64 |
| 61% | Win % | 50% |
| 2.05 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.32 |
| 0.71 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.03 |
Venue Form
Flamengo at Home
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Fluminense Away
W2
D0
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Flamengo
W
D
W
Fluminense
W
L
W
