1
48%
Home Win
2.07
X
25%
Draw
4
2
27%
Away Win
3.73
xG Home
1.59
xG Away
1.12
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS
54%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Gremio an expected 1.6 goals and Internacional an expected 1.1 goals. Gremio have a 48% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Internacional at 27%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.9%
1:0
10.6%
2:1
9.4%
2:0
8.4%
0:1
7.5%
0:0
6.7%
1:2
6.6%
2:2
5.3%
3:1
5%
3:0
4.5%
0:2
4.2%
3:2
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Gremio Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 48% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.08 |
| Market Odds | 2.22 |
Team Comparison
| Gremio | Internacional | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 16 |
| 49 | Points | 44 |
| 34% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.16 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
Venue Form
Gremio at Home
W1
D2
L1
(4 games)
Internacional Away
W0
D2
L4
(6 games)
Recent Form
Gremio
D
L
W
D
Internacional
L
L
L
D
D
