1
32%
Home Win
3.13
X
26%
Draw
3.88
2
42%
Away Win
2.37
xG Home
1.23
xG Away
1.45
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
BTTS
54%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives RB Bragantino an expected 1.2 goals and Bahia an expected 1.4 goals. RB Bragantino have a 32% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Bahia at 42%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 50%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.2%
0:1
10%
1:2
8.9%
1:0
8.5%
2:1
7.5%
0:2
7.2%
0:0
6.9%
2:2
5.4%
2:0
5.2%
1:3
4.3%
0:3
3.5%
3:1
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Bahia Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 42% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.38 |
| Market Odds | 2.53 |
Team Comparison
| RB Bragantino | Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 7 |
| 48 | Points | 60 |
| 37% | Win % | 45% |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.32 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.21 |
Venue Form
RB Bragantino at Home
W2
D0
L1
(3 games)
Bahia Away
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
RB Bragantino
W
L
W
Bahia
D
L
