Rangers FC vs Motherwell Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 05 Sep 2026 · Scottish Premiership
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.39
xG Away 1.00
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
BTTS 47%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Rangers FC an expected 1.4 goals and Motherwell an expected 1.0 goals. Rangers FC have a 46% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Motherwell at 27%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 57%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.7%
1:0 12.7%
0:1 9.2%
0:0 9.2%
2:1 8.8%
2:0 8.8%
1:2 6.4%
0:2 4.6%
2:2 4.4%
3:1 4.1%
3:0 4.1%
1:3 2.1%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Rangers FC Win
Probability 46%
Predicted Odds 2.17
Market Odds 2.31

Team Comparison

Rangers FC Motherwell
2 League Position 4
69 Points 54
58% Win % 42%
2 Avg Goals Scored 1.58
0.94 Avg Goals Conceded 0.88

Venue Form

Rangers FC at Home
W3 D0 L2 (5 games)
60% win rate
Motherwell Away
W1 D0 L3 (4 games)
25% win rate

Recent Form

Rangers FC
W W W L L
Motherwell
L L L W