Raków Częstochowa vs Zaglebie Lubin Prediction

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1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 09 Aug 2026 · Ekstraklasa
1 43%
Home Win 2.34
X 27%
Draw 3.64
2 30%
Away Win 3.37
xG Home 1.32
xG Away 1.05
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
BTTS 48%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Raków Częstochowa an expected 1.3 goals and Zaglebie Lubin an expected 1.1 goals. Raków Częstochowa have a 43% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Zaglebie Lubin at 30%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 58%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.9%
1:0 12.3%
0:1 9.8%
0:0 9.3%
2:1 8.6%
2:0 8.1%
1:2 6.8%
0:2 5.2%
2:2 4.5%
3:1 3.8%
3:0 3.6%
1:3 2.4%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Raków Częstochowa Win
Probability 43%
Predicted Odds 2.33
Market Odds 2.47

Team Comparison

Raków Częstochowa Zaglebie Lubin
4 League Position 7
55 Points 48
47% Win % 38%
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.32
1.18 Avg Goals Conceded 1.12

Venue Form

Raków Częstochowa at Home
W2 D0 L3 (5 games)
40% win rate
Zaglebie Lubin Away
W1 D0 L1 (2 games)
50% win rate

Recent Form

Raków Częstochowa
L L W W L
Zaglebie Lubin
L W