1
55%
Home Win
1.81
X
23%
Draw
4.4
2
22%
Away Win
4.56
xG Home
1.85
xG Away
1.08
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
BTTS
56%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Raków Częstochowa an expected 1.8 goals and Motor Lublin an expected 1.1 goals. Raków Częstochowa have a 55% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Motor Lublin at 22%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.7%
1:0
9.9%
2:1
9.9%
2:0
9.2%
3:1
6.1%
0:1
5.8%
1:2
5.8%
3:0
5.6%
0:0
5.4%
2:2
5.3%
3:2
3.3%
0:2
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Raków Częstochowa Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 55% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.82 |
| Market Odds | 1.93 |
Team Comparison
| Raków Częstochowa | Motor Lublin | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 12 |
| 55 | Points | 43 |
| 47% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.35 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.56 |
Venue Form
Raków Częstochowa at Home
W2
D0
L3
(5 games)
Motor Lublin Away
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Raków Częstochowa
L
L
W
W
L
Motor Lublin
D
W
L
