1
68%
Home Win
1.47
X
19%
Draw
5.22
2
13%
Away Win
7.79
xG Home
2.13
xG Away
0.80
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
BTTS
48%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Raków Częstochowa an expected 2.1 goals and Arka Gdynia an expected 0.8 goals. Raków Częstochowa have a 68% win probability, draw stands at 19%, and Arka Gdynia at 13%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
12.2%
1:0
11.4%
2:1
9.7%
1:1
9.1%
3:0
8.6%
3:1
6.9%
0:0
5.4%
4:0
4.6%
0:1
4.3%
2:2
3.9%
4:1
3.6%
1:2
3.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Raków Częstochowa Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Raków Częstochowa | Arka Gdynia | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 17 |
| 55 | Points | 36 |
| 47% | Win % | 26% |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.79 |
Venue Form
Raków Częstochowa at Home
W2
D0
L3
(5 games)
Arka Gdynia Away
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Raków Częstochowa
L
L
W
W
L
Arka Gdynia
D
L
Head to Head
Arka Gdynia
1 : 4
Raków Częstochowa
W
Arka Gdynia
0 : 2
Raków Częstochowa
W
Raków Częstochowa
2 : 1
Arka Gdynia
L
