Racing Santander vs Real Madrid — Prediction

1 – 4
Most likely score (model)
Sun, 01 Nov 2026 · La Liga
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
1 Nov 2026, 15:15 UTC
Competition
La Liga
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Racing Santander
  • Ribadesella Cf 0–0 Racing Santander
  • Racing Santander 2–1 Espanyol
  • Celta de Vigo 5–0 Racing Santander
  • Barcelona 4–2 Racing Santander
  • Racing Santander 2–1 Alavés
Real Madrid
  • Barcelona 1–2 Real Madrid
  • Atlético Madrid 2–1 Real Madrid
  • Elche 2–3 Real Madrid
  • Real Madrid 3–1 Rayo Vallecano
  • Real Madrid 2–1 Inter
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Racing Santander 10 · Real Madrid 10. Data saved: 2026-10-31 00:00 UTC.

Table season: 2026

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Real Madrid 51% · 2026-10-31 10:10 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.08
Model goal expectation · 2 4.03
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
BTTS 65%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Racing Santander 1.08 · Real Madrid 4.03.
1 5% · X 8% · 2 87%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:4 7.2%
1:3 7.1%
0:4 6.6%
0:3 6.6%
1:2 5.3%
0:2 4.9%
2:4 3.9%
2:3 3.9%
2:2 2.9%
1:1 2.6%
0:1 2.4%
2:1 1.4%

About this assessment

Model outcome Real Madrid Win
Probability 87%
Predicted Odds 1.15

Team Comparison

Racing Santander Real Madrid
14 League Position 3
11 Points 24
30% Win % 80%
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 2.5
2.6 Avg Goals Conceded 1

Venue Form

Racing Santander at Home
W2 D0 L0 (2 games)
100% win rate
Real Madrid Away
W2 D0 L1 (3 games)
67% win rate

Recent Form

Racing Santander
D W L L W
Real Madrid
W L W W W