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Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad — Prediction

Athletic Club Athletic Club
1 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Sun, 01 Nov 2026 · La Liga
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
1 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC
Competition
La Liga
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Athletic Club
  • Prat 0–0 Athletic Club
  • Athletic Club 4–0 Getafe
  • Athletic Club 0–0 Alavés
  • Athletic Club 1–1 Elche
  • Athletic Club 3–0 Atlético Madrid
Real Sociedad
  • Real Sociedad 2–1 Levante
  • Valencia 1–1 Real Sociedad
  • Real Sociedad 0–3 Atlético Madrid
  • Elche 2–3 Real Sociedad
  • Espanyol 1–1 Real Sociedad
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Athletic Club 9 · Real Sociedad 10. Data saved: 2026-10-31 00:00 UTC.

Table season: 2026

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Real Sociedad 44% · 2026-10-31 10:10 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

1 50%
Home Win 1.98
X 24%
Draw 4.22
2 26%
Away Win 3.86
Model goal expectation · 1 1.73
Model goal expectation · 2 1.18
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
BTTS 57%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Athletic Club 1.73 · Real Sociedad 1.18.
1 50% · X 24% · 2 26%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 11.1%
2:1 9.6%
1:0 9.4%
2:0 8.2%
1:2 6.5%
0:1 6.4%
2:2 5.7%
3:1 5.6%
0:0 5.4%
3:0 4.7%
0:2 3.8%
3:2 3.3%

About this assessment

Model outcome Athletic Club Win
Probability 50%
Predicted Odds 2

Team Comparison

Athletic Club Real Sociedad
8 League Position 5
12 Points 19
33% Win % 60%
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.9
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.8

Venue Form

Athletic Club at Home
W2 D2 L0 (4 games)
50% win rate
Real Sociedad Away
W1 D2 L0 (3 games)
33% win rate

Recent Form

Athletic Club
D W D D W
Real Sociedad
W D L W D

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