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Rayo Vallecano vs Celta de Vigo — Prediction

Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
0 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Sat, 31 Oct 2026 · La Liga
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Celta de Vigo Celta de Vigo

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
31 Oct 2026, 15:15 UTC
Competition
La Liga
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Rayo Vallecano
  • Rayo Vallecano 0–3 Elche
  • Osasuna 1–1 Rayo Vallecano
  • Rayo Vallecano 2–1 Espanyol
  • Real Madrid 3–1 Rayo Vallecano
  • Rayo Vallecano 3–2 Racing Santander
Celta de Vigo
  • Celta de Vigo 0–0 Real Betis
  • Celta de Vigo 5–0 Racing Santander
  • Omonia Nicosia 1–0 Celta de Vigo
  • Celta de Vigo 1–1 Malaga
  • Getafe 1–1 Celta de Vigo
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Rayo Vallecano 9 · Celta de Vigo 10. Data saved: 2026-10-31 00:00 UTC.

Table season: 2026

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Rayo Vallecano 50% · 2026-10-31 01:01 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

1 18%
Home Win 5.47
X 28%
Draw 3.59
2 54%
Away Win 1.86
Model goal expectation · 1 0.67
Model goal expectation · 2 1.38
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
BTTS 37%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Rayo Vallecano 0.67 · Celta de Vigo 1.38.
1 18% · X 28% · 2 54%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:1 17.7%
0:0 12.9%
0:2 12.2%
1:1 11.9%
1:0 8.7%
1:2 8.2%
0:3 5.6%
2:1 4%
1:3 3.8%
2:0 2.9%
2:2 2.8%
0:4 1.9%

About this assessment

Model outcome Celta de Vigo Win
Probability 54%
Predicted Odds 1.85

Team Comparison

Rayo Vallecano Celta de Vigo
17 League Position 9
9 Points 12
22% Win % 20%
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1
2.22 Avg Goals Conceded 0.7

Venue Form

Rayo Vallecano at Home
W2 D0 L1 (3 games)
67% win rate
Celta de Vigo Away
W0 D1 L1 (2 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Rayo Vallecano
L D W L W
Celta de Vigo
D W L D D

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