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Barcelona vs Alavés — Prediction

Barcelona Barcelona
3 – 0
Most likely score (model)
Sat, 31 Oct 2026 · La Liga
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Alavés Alavés

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
31 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC
Competition
La Liga
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Barcelona
  • Barcelona 1–2 Real Madrid
  • Sevilla FC 1–3 Barcelona
  • Barcelona 4–2 Racing Santander
  • Levante 2–4 Barcelona
  • Barcelona 5–1 Feyenoord
Alavés
  • Athletic Club 0–0 Alavés
  • Alavés 0–1 Valencia
  • Racing Santander 2–1 Alavés
  • Alavés 5–2 Osasuna
  • Alavés 1–0 Rayo Vallecano
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Barcelona 10 · Alavés 10. Data saved: 2026-10-31 00:00 UTC.

Table season: 2026

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Barcelona 84% · 2026-10-31 01:01 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

1 81%
Home Win 1.24
X 12%
Draw 8.58
2 8%
Away Win 12.87
Model goal expectation · 1 3.18
Model goal expectation · 2 0.95
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
BTTS 59%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Barcelona 3.18 · Alavés 0.95.
1 81% · X 12% · 2 8%.

Correct Score Predictions

3:0 8.6%
3:1 8.2%
2:0 8.1%
2:1 7.7%
4:0 6.8%
4:1 6.5%
1:0 5.1%
1:1 4.9%
3:2 3.9%
2:2 3.7%
4:2 3.1%
1:2 2.3%

About this assessment

Model outcome Barcelona Win
Probability 81%
Predicted Odds 1.23

Team Comparison

Barcelona Alavés
1 League Position 7
27 Points 12
90% Win % 30%
4 Avg Goals Scored 1.4
1.1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.1

Venue Form

Barcelona at Home
W2 D0 L1 (3 games)
67% win rate
Alavés Away
W0 D1 L1 (2 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Barcelona
L W W W W
Alavés
D L L W W

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