1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.59
xG Away
2.25
Over 2.5 Goals
74%
BTTS
71%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Sichuan Jiuniu an expected 1.6 goals and Shanghai Shenhua an expected 2.2 goals. Sichuan Jiuniu have a 27% win probability, draw stands at 20%, and Shanghai Shenhua at 53%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 74%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:2
8.6%
1:1
7.7%
2:2
6.9%
1:3
6.5%
2:1
6.1%
0:2
5.4%
2:3
5.2%
0:1
4.8%
0:3
4.1%
3:2
3.7%
1:4
3.6%
1:0
3.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Shanghai Shenhua Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 53% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.89 |
| Market Odds | 2.01 |
Team Comparison
| Sichuan Jiuniu | Shanghai Shenhua | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 8 |
| 32 | Points | 37 |
| 31% | Win % | 48% |
| 1.34 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.17 |
| 1.76 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.72 |
Venue Form
Sichuan Jiuniu at Home
W2
D0
L1
(3 games)
Shanghai Shenhua Away
W2
D1
L1
(4 games)
Recent Form
Sichuan Jiuniu
W
L
W
Shanghai Shenhua
L
W
W
D
