1
39%
Home Win
2.55
X
26%
Draw
3.89
2
35%
Away Win
2.85
xG Home
1.40
xG Away
1.31
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS
55%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Portsmouth FC an expected 1.4 goals and QPR an expected 1.3 goals. Portsmouth FC have a 39% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and QPR at 35%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.2%
1:0
9.3%
0:1
8.7%
2:1
8.5%
1:2
8%
0:0
6.6%
2:0
6.5%
0:2
5.7%
2:2
5.6%
3:1
4%
1:3
3.5%
3:0
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Portsmouth FC Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 39% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.56 |
| Market Odds | 2.73 |
Team Comparison
| Portsmouth FC | QPR | |
|---|---|---|
| 18 | League Position | 15 |
| 55 | Points | 58 |
| 30% | Win % | 35% |
| 1.07 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 1.39 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.59 |
Venue Form
Portsmouth FC at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
QPR Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
Portsmouth FC
D
W
QPR
L
L
