1
39%
Home Win
2.56
X
31%
Draw
3.24
2
30%
Away Win
3.33
xG Home
1.08
xG Away
0.90
Over 2.5 Goals
32%
BTTS
39%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Portsmouth FC an expected 1.1 goals and Blackburn an expected 0.9 goals. Portsmouth FC have a 39% win probability, draw stands at 31%, and Blackburn at 30%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 68%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
14.9%
0:0
13.8%
1:1
13.4%
0:1
12.5%
2:0
8%
2:1
7.2%
1:2
6.1%
0:2
5.6%
2:2
3.3%
3:0
2.9%
3:1
2.6%
1:3
1.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Portsmouth FC Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 39% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.56 |
| Market Odds | 2.73 |
Team Comparison
| Portsmouth FC | Blackburn | |
|---|---|---|
| 18 | League Position | 20 |
| 55 | Points | 52 |
| 30% | Win % | 28% |
| 1.07 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.91 |
| 1.39 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.22 |
Venue Form
Portsmouth FC at Home
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Blackburn Away
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Portsmouth FC
W
D
W
Blackburn
L
W
