Pogoń Szczecin vs Wisla Plock Prediction

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1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Mon, 07 Sep 2026 · Ekstraklasa
1 42%
Home Win 2.4
X 29%
Draw 3.46
2 29%
Away Win 3.4
xG Home 1.22
xG Away 0.98
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
BTTS 44%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Pogoń Szczecin an expected 1.2 goals and Wisla Plock an expected 1.0 goals. Pogoń Szczecin have a 42% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Wisla Plock at 29%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 62%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 13.6%
1:1 13.2%
0:0 11.1%
0:1 10.9%
2:0 8.3%
2:1 8.1%
1:2 6.5%
0:2 5.3%
2:2 3.9%
3:0 3.4%
3:1 3.3%
1:3 2.1%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Pogoń Szczecin Win
Probability 42%
Predicted Odds 2.38
Market Odds 2.53

Team Comparison

Pogoń Szczecin Wisla Plock
9 League Position 8
45 Points 46
38% Win % 35%
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.44 Avg Goals Conceded 1.12

Venue Form

Pogoń Szczecin at Home
W2 D0 L2 (4 games)
50% win rate
Wisla Plock Away
W2 D0 L1 (3 games)
67% win rate

Recent Form

Pogoń Szczecin
L W L W
Wisla Plock
W L W