Pogoń Szczecin vs Legia Warszawa Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Fri, 24 Jul 2026 · Ekstraklasa
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.19
xG Away 1.21
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
BTTS 49%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Pogoń Szczecin an expected 1.2 goals and Legia Warszawa an expected 1.2 goals. Pogoń Szczecin have a 36% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Legia Warszawa at 37%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 57%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 13.1%
0:1 11%
1:0 10.9%
0:0 9.1%
1:2 7.9%
2:1 7.8%
0:2 6.6%
2:0 6.4%
2:2 4.7%
1:3 3.2%
3:1 3.1%
0:3 2.7%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Legia Warszawa Win
Probability 50%
Predicted Odds 2
Market Odds 2.13

Team Comparison

Pogoń Szczecin Legia Warszawa
9 League Position 6
45 Points 49
38% Win % 35%
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.24
1.44 Avg Goals Conceded 1.09

Venue Form

Pogoń Szczecin at Home
W4 D1 L2 (7 games)
57% win rate
Legia Warszawa Away
W5 D0 L1 (6 games)
83% win rate

Recent Form

Pogoń Szczecin
W W D L W
Legia Warszawa
W W W W L

Head to Head

06 Apr 2026 Ekstraklasa
Pogon Szczecin 0 : 2 Legia Warszawa
W
30 Oct 2025 Cup
Legia Warszawa 1 : 2 Pogon Szczecin
W
28 Sep 2025 Ekstraklasa
Legia Warszawa 1 : 0 Pogon Szczecin
L