1
34%
Home Win
2.93
X
24%
Draw
4.22
2
42%
Away Win
2.37
xG Home
1.46
xG Away
1.65
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
BTTS
62%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Paris FC an expected 1.5 goals and Strasbourg an expected 1.6 goals. Paris FC have a 34% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Strasbourg at 42%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.7%
1:2
8.8%
2:1
7.9%
0:1
7.3%
1:0
6.5%
2:2
6.5%
0:2
6%
1:3
4.9%
2:0
4.8%
0:0
4.5%
3:1
3.8%
2:3
3.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Strasbourg Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 42% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.38 |
| Market Odds | 2.53 |
Team Comparison
| Paris FC | Strasbourg | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 8 |
| 44 | Points | 53 |
| 32% | Win % | 44% |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.71 |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.38 |
Venue Form
Paris FC at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Strasbourg Away
W3
D1
L0
(4 games)
Recent Form
Paris FC
W
L
Strasbourg
W
W
D
W
