Paris FC vs Nice Prediction

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1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 30 Aug 2026 · Ligue 1
1 56%
Home Win 1.77
X 22%
Draw 4.45
2 21%
Away Win 4.76
xG Home 1.87
xG Away 1.05
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
BTTS 55%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Paris FC an expected 1.9 goals and Nice an expected 1.1 goals. Paris FC have a 56% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Nice at 21%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 56%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 10.6%
1:0 10.1%
2:1 9.9%
2:0 9.4%
3:1 6.2%
3:0 5.9%
0:1 5.7%
1:2 5.6%
0:0 5.4%
2:2 5.2%
3:2 3.2%
0:2 3%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Paris FC Win
Probability 56%
Predicted Odds 1.79
Market Odds 1.9

Team Comparison

Paris FC Nice
11 League Position 16
44 Points 32
32% Win % 21%
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.09
1.47 Avg Goals Conceded 1.76

Venue Form

Paris FC at Home
W1 D0 L1 (2 games)
50% win rate
Nice Away
W0 D2 L1 (3 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Paris FC
W L
Nice
L D D