1
56%
Home Win
1.77
X
22%
Draw
4.45
2
21%
Away Win
4.76
xG Home
1.87
xG Away
1.05
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
BTTS
55%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Paris FC an expected 1.9 goals and Nice an expected 1.1 goals. Paris FC have a 56% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Nice at 21%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.6%
1:0
10.1%
2:1
9.9%
2:0
9.4%
3:1
6.2%
3:0
5.9%
0:1
5.7%
1:2
5.6%
0:0
5.4%
2:2
5.2%
3:2
3.2%
0:2
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Paris FC Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 56% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.79 |
| Market Odds | 1.9 |
Team Comparison
| Paris FC | Nice | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 16 |
| 44 | Points | 32 |
| 32% | Win % | 21% |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.09 |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.76 |
Venue Form
Paris FC at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Nice Away
W0
D2
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Paris FC
W
L
Nice
L
D
D