1
70%
Home Win
1.43
X
17%
Draw
5.85
2
13%
Away Win
7.65
xG Home
2.45
xG Away
0.97
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
BTTS
57%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Paris Saint Germain an expected 2.5 goals and Rennes FC an expected 1.0 goals. Paris Saint Germain have a 70% win probability, draw stands at 17%, and Rennes FC at 13%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 66%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
9.8%
2:1
9.5%
3:0
8%
1:0
8%
3:1
7.8%
1:1
7.8%
4:0
4.9%
4:1
4.8%
2:2
4.6%
3:2
3.8%
1:2
3.8%
0:0
3.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Paris Saint Germain Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 70% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.43 |
| Market Odds | 1.52 |
Team Comparison
| Paris Saint Germain | Rennes FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 6 |
| 76 | Points | 59 |
| 71% | Win % | 50% |
| 2.18 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.74 |
| 0.85 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.47 |
Venue Form
Paris Saint Germain at Home
W2
D1
L1
(4 games)
Rennes FC Away
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Paris Saint Germain
W
D
W
L
Rennes FC
L
W
L