1
73%
Home Win
1.38
X
16%
Draw
6.41
2
12%
Away Win
8.53
xG Home
2.65
xG Away
0.99
Over 2.5 Goals
70%
BTTS
58%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Paris Saint Germain an expected 2.6 goals and Monaco an expected 1.0 goals. Paris Saint Germain have a 73% win probability, draw stands at 16%, and Monaco at 12%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 70%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
9.2%
2:1
9.1%
3:0
8.2%
3:1
8.1%
1:0
7%
1:1
6.9%
4:0
5.4%
4:1
5.3%
2:2
4.5%
3:2
4%
1:2
3.4%
0:0
2.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Paris Saint Germain Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 73% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.37 |
| Market Odds | 1.46 |
Team Comparison
| Paris Saint Germain | Monaco | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 7 |
| 76 | Points | 54 |
| 71% | Win % | 47% |
| 2.18 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.76 |
| 0.85 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.59 |
Venue Form
Paris Saint Germain at Home
W2
D1
L1
(4 games)
Monaco Away
W1
D2
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Paris Saint Germain
W
D
W
L
Monaco
W
D
D
