Pachuca vs Querétaro Prediction

Live Match Centre & Lineups ›
1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Mon, 27 Jul 2026 · Liga MX
1 53%
Home Win 1.88
X 27%
Draw 3.7
2 20%
Away Win 5.06
xG Home 1.43
xG Away 0.76
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
BTTS 40%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Pachuca an expected 1.4 goals and Querétaro an expected 0.8 goals. Pachuca have a 53% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Querétaro at 20%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 63%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 16.1%
1:1 12.1%
2:0 11.5%
0:0 11.2%
2:1 8.7%
0:1 8.5%
3:0 5.5%
1:2 4.6%
3:1 4.2%
2:2 3.3%
0:2 3.2%
4:0 2%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Pachuca Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Team Comparison

Pachuca Querétaro
4 League Position 11
31 Points 20
53% Win % 24%
1.47 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.12 Avg Goals Conceded 1.24

Venue Form

Pachuca at Home
W2 D0 L2 (4 games)
50% win rate
Querétaro Away
W2 D1 L0 (3 games)
67% win rate

Recent Form

Pachuca
L W W L
Querétaro
W W D

Head to Head

01 Feb 2026 Liga MX
Club Queretaro 0 : 0 CF Pachuca
D
20 Sep 2025 Liga MX
CF Pachuca 0 : 2 Club Queretaro
W
30 Jan 2025 Liga MX
Club Queretaro 0 : 1 CF Pachuca
W