1
58%
Home Win
1.73
X
24%
Draw
4.2
2
18%
Away Win
5.44
xG Home
1.71
xG Away
0.84
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
BTTS
47%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Pachuca an expected 1.7 goals and Necaxa an expected 0.8 goals. Pachuca have a 58% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Necaxa at 18%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
13.3%
2:0
11.4%
1:1
11.2%
2:1
9.6%
0:0
7.8%
0:1
6.6%
3:0
6.5%
3:1
5.5%
1:2
4.7%
2:2
4.1%
0:2
2.8%
4:0
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Pachuca Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 58% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.72 |
| Market Odds | 1.83 |
Team Comparison
| Pachuca | Necaxa | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 15 |
| 31 | Points | 18 |
| 53% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.12 |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.47 |
Venue Form
Pachuca at Home
W2
D1
L2
(5 games)
Necaxa Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
Pachuca
D
L
W
W
L
Necaxa
L
L
