1
32%
Home Win
3.16
X
27%
Draw
3.7
2
41%
Away Win
2.42
xG Home
1.14
xG Away
1.34
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
BTTS
50%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Puebla an expected 1.1 goals and León FC an expected 1.3 goals. Puebla have a 32% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and León FC at 41%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.8%
0:1
11.3%
1:0
9.6%
1:2
8.6%
0:0
8.4%
0:2
7.5%
2:1
7.3%
2:0
5.4%
2:2
4.9%
1:3
3.8%
0:3
3.4%
3:1
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | León FC Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 41% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.44 |
| Market Odds | 2.59 |
Team Comparison
| Puebla | León FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | League Position | 10 |
| 13 | Points | 22 |
| 18% | Win % | 41% |
| 0.76 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.88 |
Venue Form
Puebla at Home
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
León FC Away
W0
D1
L3
(4 games)
Recent Form
Puebla
D
L
L
León FC
D
L
L
L
