1
32%
Home Win
3.13
X
26%
Draw
3.84
2
42%
Away Win
2.38
xG Home
1.21
xG Away
1.42
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
BTTS
53%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Juarez an expected 1.2 goals and Club Tijuana an expected 1.4 goals. FC Juarez have a 32% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Club Tijuana at 42%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.4%
0:1
10.3%
1:2
8.8%
1:0
8.7%
2:1
7.5%
0:2
7.3%
0:0
7.2%
2:2
5.3%
2:0
5.2%
1:3
4.2%
0:3
3.5%
3:1
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Club Tijuana Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 42% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.38 |
| Market Odds | 2.53 |
Team Comparison
| FC Juarez | Club Tijuana | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | League Position | 9 |
| 19 | Points | 23 |
| 29% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.12 |
| 1.88 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
Venue Form
FC Juarez at Home
W2
D0
L1
(3 games)
Club Tijuana Away
W0
D3
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
FC Juarez
W
L
W
Club Tijuana
D
D
D
