1
20%
Home Win
5
X
28%
Draw
3.62
2
52%
Away Win
1.91
xG Home
0.74
xG Away
1.39
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
BTTS
39%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Atlas an expected 0.7 goals and Guadalajara Chivas an expected 1.4 goals. Atlas have a 20% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Guadalajara Chivas at 52%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 64%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
16.5%
1:1
12.2%
0:0
11.9%
0:2
11.5%
1:0
8.8%
1:2
8.5%
0:3
5.3%
2:1
4.5%
1:3
3.9%
2:0
3.3%
2:2
3.2%
0:4
1.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Guadalajara Chivas Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 52% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.92 |
| Market Odds | 2.05 |
Team Comparison
| Atlas | Guadalajara Chivas | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 2 |
| 26 | Points | 36 |
| 41% | Win % | 65% |
| 0.94 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.94 |
| 1.06 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
Venue Form
Atlas at Home
W0
D2
L1
(3 games)
Guadalajara Chivas Away
W0
D3
L1
(4 games)
Recent Form
Atlas
D
L
D
Guadalajara Chivas
D
D
L
D
