1
21%
Home Win
4.74
X
36%
Draw
2.75
2
43%
Away Win
2.35
xG Home
0.55
xG Away
0.91
Over 2.5 Goals
18%
BTTS
25%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Oviedo an expected 0.5 goals and Getafe an expected 0.9 goals. Oviedo have a 21% win probability, draw stands at 36%, and Getafe at 43%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 82%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:0
23.2%
0:1
21.2%
1:0
12.7%
1:1
11.6%
0:2
9.7%
1:2
5.3%
2:0
3.5%
2:1
3.2%
0:3
2.9%
1:3
1.6%
2:2
1.5%
0:4
0.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Getafe Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 43% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.33 |
| Market Odds | 2.47 |
Team Comparison
| Oviedo | Getafe | |
|---|---|---|
| 20 | League Position | 7 |
| 29 | Points | 51 |
| 16% | Win % | 39% |
| 0.68 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.84 |
| 1.58 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
Venue Form
Oviedo at Home
W0
D2
L1
(3 games)
Getafe Away
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Oviedo
D
L
D
Getafe
D
W
