Osasuna vs Racing Santander Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 18 Oct 2026 · La Liga
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Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.46
xG Away 1.08
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
BTTS 51%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Osasuna an expected 1.5 goals and Racing Santander an expected 1.1 goals. Osasuna have a 46% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Racing Santander at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 54%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.5%
1:0 11.6%
2:1 9.1%
0:1 8.6%
2:0 8.4%
0:0 7.9%
1:2 6.7%
2:2 4.9%
0:2 4.6%
3:1 4.4%
3:0 4.1%
1:3 2.4%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Osasuna Win
Probability 46%
Predicted Odds 2.17
Market Odds 2.31

Venue Form

Osasuna at Home
W1 D0 L2 (3 games)
33% win rate
Racing Santander Away
W0 D0 L1 (1 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Osasuna
L L W
Racing Santander
L