1
42%
Home Win
2.39
X
26%
Draw
3.9
2
32%
Away Win
3.08
xG Home
1.45
xG Away
1.25
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS
55%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Orenburg an expected 1.5 goals and Akron an expected 1.2 goals. Orenburg have a 42% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Akron at 32%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.2%
1:0
9.7%
2:1
8.8%
0:1
8.4%
1:2
7.6%
2:0
7.1%
0:0
6.7%
2:2
5.5%
0:2
5.2%
3:1
4.3%
3:0
3.4%
1:3
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Orenburg Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 42% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.38 |
| Market Odds | 2.53 |
Team Comparison
| Orenburg | Akron | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | League Position | 13 |
| 29 | Points | 27 |
| 23% | Win % | 20% |
| 0.97 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.17 |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.77 |
Venue Form
Orenburg at Home
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Recent Form
Orenburg
L
