1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.49
xG Away
1.14
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
BTTS
53%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Nottingham Forest an expected 1.5 goals and Tottenham an expected 1.1 goals. Nottingham Forest have a 45% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Tottenham at 29%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.2%
1:0
10.7%
2:1
9.1%
0:1
8.2%
2:0
8%
0:0
7.2%
1:2
7%
2:2
5.2%
0:2
4.7%
3:1
4.5%
3:0
4%
1:3
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Nottingham Forest Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Nottingham Forest | Tottenham | |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | League Position | 17 |
| 44 | Points | 41 |
| 29% | Win % | 26% |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.26 |
| 1.34 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
Venue Form
Nottingham Forest at Home
W1
D2
L1
(4 games)
Tottenham Away
W3
D1
L0
(4 games)
Recent Form
Nottingham Forest
L
D
D
W
Tottenham
W
D
W
W
