1
41%
Home Win
2.43
X
26%
Draw
3.89
2
33%
Away Win
3.02
xG Home
1.44
xG Away
1.26
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS
55%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Nottingham Forest an expected 1.4 goals and Newcastle United an expected 1.3 goals. Nottingham Forest have a 41% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Newcastle United at 33%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.2%
1:0
9.7%
2:1
8.8%
0:1
8.5%
1:2
7.7%
2:0
7%
0:0
6.7%
2:2
5.5%
0:2
5.4%
3:1
4.2%
3:0
3.3%
1:3
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Nottingham Forest Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 41% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.44 |
| Market Odds | 2.59 |
Team Comparison
| Nottingham Forest | Newcastle United | |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | League Position | 12 |
| 44 | Points | 49 |
| 29% | Win % | 37% |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.39 |
| 1.34 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.45 |
Venue Form
Nottingham Forest at Home
W1
D2
L0
(3 games)
Newcastle United Away
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Nottingham Forest
D
D
W
Newcastle United
D
L
Head to Head
Nottingham Forest
0 : 0
Newcastle United
D
Newcastle United
2 : 0
Nottingham Forest
L
Newcastle United
4 : 3
Nottingham Forest
L
