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Everton vs Coventry — Prediction

1 – 0
Most likely score (model)
Fri, 06 Nov 2026 · Premier League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
6 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC
Competition
Premier League
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Everton
  • Newcastle United 0–1 Everton
  • Everton 3–1 Newcastle United
  • Arsenal 2–0 Everton
  • Everton 0–2 Chelsea
  • Everton 1–0 Ipswich
Coventry
  • Coventry 3–1 Sunderland
  • Coventry 0–1 Fulham
  • Tottenham 3–1 Coventry
  • Nottingham Forest 0–1 Coventry
  • Coventry 1–3 Aston Villa
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Everton 9 · Coventry 9. Data saved: 2026-11-05 01:30 UTC.

Table season: 2026

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Everton 40% · 2026-11-05 00:30 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.42
Model goal expectation · 2 0.69
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
BTTS 38%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Everton 1.42 · Coventry 0.69.
1 55% · X 27% · 2 18%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 17.3%
2:0 12.3%
0:0 12.1%
1:1 11.8%
2:1 8.4%
0:1 8.3%
3:0 5.8%
1:2 4.1%
3:1 4%
2:2 2.9%
0:2 2.9%
4:0 2.1%

About this assessment

Model outcome Everton Win
Probability 55%
Predicted Odds 1.82

Team Comparison

Everton Coventry
7 League Position 16
13 Points 9
33% Win % 33%
1 Avg Goals Scored 1
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.78

Venue Form

Everton at Home
W2 D0 L1 (3 games)
67% win rate
Coventry Away
W1 D0 L1 (2 games)
50% win rate

Recent Form

Everton
W W L L W
Coventry
W L L W L