1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
0.81
xG Away
1.05
Over 2.5 Goals
29%
BTTS
36%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives NK Osijek an expected 0.8 goals and HNK Gorica an expected 1.1 goals. NK Osijek have a 28% win probability, draw stands at 32%, and HNK Gorica at 41%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 71%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
16.3%
0:0
15.5%
1:1
13.2%
1:0
12.6%
0:2
8.6%
1:2
7%
2:1
5.4%
2:0
5.1%
0:3
3%
2:2
2.8%
1:3
2.4%
3:1
1.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | HNK Gorica Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 41% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.44 |
| Market Odds | 2.59 |
Team Comparison
| NK Osijek | HNK Gorica | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 8 |
| 35 | Points | 41 |
| 22% | Win % | 31% |
| 0.75 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.11 |
| 1.36 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
Venue Form
NK Osijek at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
HNK Gorica Away
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Recent Form
NK Osijek
L
W
HNK Gorica
L
