Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Rijeka Prediction

2 – 0
Most Likely Score
Sat, 24 Oct 2026 · HNL
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Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 2.10
xG Away 0.74
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
BTTS 46%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Dinamo Zagreb an expected 2.1 goals and HNK Rijeka an expected 0.7 goals. Dinamo Zagreb have a 69% win probability, draw stands at 19%, and HNK Rijeka at 12%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 54%.

Correct Score Predictions

2:0 12.9%
1:0 12.3%
2:1 9.5%
1:1 9.1%
3:0 9%
3:1 6.7%
0:0 5.9%
4:0 4.7%
0:1 4.3%
2:2 3.5%
4:1 3.5%
1:2 3.3%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Dinamo Zagreb Win
Probability 69%
Predicted Odds 1.45
Market Odds 1.54

Team Comparison

Dinamo Zagreb HNK Rijeka
1 League Position 4
86 Points 53
75% Win % 39%
2.58 Avg Goals Scored 1.36
0.78 Avg Goals Conceded 1

Venue Form

Dinamo Zagreb at Home
W3 D0 L0 (3 games)
100% win rate

Recent Form

Dinamo Zagreb
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